VENEECONOMIST

ENERGY MAJOR · FRENCH

TotalEnergies

TotalEnergies is the French energy company with a history of projects in Venezuela; its stance reflects the majors' caution toward the country's regulatory and sanctions risk.

Coverage

31 pieces

Latest

Oct 20, 2026

OFAC license

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Sector read

VE-ENERGY

VE Pulses

21
VE PULSE · 08-OCT-2026

Pacific Coast Energy promises to double crude output at two PDVSA blocks claimed by former partners

On July 30 the company said it was finalizing the contracts; on October 7 it confirmed it runs both blocks with full operational control. Its release mentions no OFAC license and none of the partners claiming the fields.

VE PULSE · 01-OCT-2026

One Planta Centro unit in Carabobo carries almost half of Corpoelec's 1,300-megawatt plan

The state power company's plan adds 1,300 megawatts through December from existing units returning to service. It does not say how many of the 4,800 thermal megawatts the acting president set in August for year-end are already online.

VE PULSE · 30-SEP-2026

GeoPark puts 2038 on Bare and leaves the heavy spending for after 2028

The $7 billion attached to the field in the headlines adds up capital and operating spending, not just investment. What the company gave this week is the pace: the 90,000-barrel-a-day target is set for 2038, and heavier spending comes after 2028.

VE PULSE · 29-SEP-2026

Venezuelan methanol enters an OFAC license when it was already almost a quarter of US imports

Metor, the Jose plant in which the state holds 37.5%, kept selling in the United States while sanctions were in force. Since Monday the license names the product and lets the state partner in, with its payment routed to the Treasury account.

VE PULSE · 23-SEP-2026

Freight from José to the Gulf went from $1.90 to $5 a barrel and it is pressing the price of Merey

Until now the argument about the Venezuelan barrel was how much gets produced and who buys it. The cost of moving it has multiplied two and a half times in nine months, and the houses that ship more than half of exports want that difference taken out of the price.

VE PULSE · 22-SEP-2026

The IDB puts Venezuela's power grid in a two-year plan and the debt owed to the bank stays undated

The bank stopped approving new loans to Venezuela in May 2018. Its president described on Monday the missions preparing the document for the next two years, without saying how the overdue payments get settled or when disbursement could resume.

VE PULSE · 21-SEP-2026

TotalEnergies signs with PDVSA without being one of the six companies Washington authorizes by name

The annex that names authorized operators in writing has not added a company since June. On Saturday one that is not on it signed at Miraflores, and no fields, amounts or timetable were disclosed.

VE PULSE · 16-SEP-2026

BCV scraps the commercial credit ceiling and makes 16% the floor for bolivar loans

The repealed resolution set a band: no more than 16% a year, no less than 13%. The one in force since Tuesday deletes the ceiling and leaves that same 16% as the minimum. The bank's press note announced what it will pay on deposits; what borrowing will cost sits in the official gazette.

VE PULSE · 15-SEP-2026

OFAC's GL 52C lets a sanctioned official sign for PDVSA

Until last night, a sanctioned officer signing was enough to make the transaction prohibited, and the contract stalled in its last box. The same document closes the door on the Citgo structure in Delaware, by name.

VE PULSE · 14-SEP-2026

Chevron will pay for Carabobo out of its joint ventures' cash, declaring a total cost under $20 a barrel

The September 2 release said how much it would invest and over what period. What Mike Wirth added on Friday says where the money comes from — whatever cash the three operating joint ventures generate, with none brought in from outside.

VE PULSE · 10-SEP-2026

The signature for PDVSA changes in the Delaware case auctioning Citgo's parent

On May 11 the court record noted the removal of three Arnold & Porter attorneys. On Tuesday a one-partner Wilmington firm appeared for Petroleos de Venezuela. The sale the judge authorized has still not closed.

VE PULSE · 09-SEP-2026

Nabors dates its Venezuela return for 2027; NABEP, Washington's operator, counted six rigs this year

The deal's operator placed six rigs drilling before December. The two suppliers that filed on Tuesday with the securities regulator date something else: one rig starting in 2027 and components for ten more only now leaving the United States.

VE PULSE · 07-SEP-2026

India and Europe absorbed in August the barrels PDVSA stopped sending to the United States

Total loadings did not move. What moved was the split: the United States came off a July record and fell, India rose by two thirds and Europe nearly tripled.

VE PULSE · 02-SEP-2026

Washington reserves first call on every barrel from the seventeen fields

Until Friday the deal was a post on a social network. The document the White House published sets a veto over every board appointment, a fifth of output at production cost, and the right to buy the rest before anyone else.

VE PULSE · 12-AUG-2026

Venezuela's exchange no longer values companies: it lends to them, and that is 96.5% of its volume

The country has a capital market that works, though not to value companies: it works to fund them short-term, the one thing banks cannot do today.

VE PULSE · 21-JUL-2026

Money is already betting on Venezuela's recovery before the real economy feels it

In Venezuela, private capital, the bond market and exchange-rate policy are all positioning on a recovery that hasn't happened yet: they value what they expect, not what exists.

VE PULSE · 30-JUN-2026

The earthquake has already priced Venezuela's rebuild; the money to pay for it is missing

The earthquake has stopped being only a humanitarian emergency and become a financing one: rebuilding costs several points of GDP and the money assembled covers barely a fraction —on a state with no margin.

VE PULSE · 23-JUN-2026

Venezuela posts its best oil quarter in years, and the bond market answers by falling

The oil rebound now has numbers behind it, but the market that would finance the country answered by selling: without knowing how much of its debt it will pay or under what rules, the recovery is a figure, not yet an investment thesis.

VE PULSE · 12-JUN-2026

Shell signs Phase I of the Loran field and the debt restructuring already has a draft price

The new permit regime is already producing contracts in gas, debt and agriculture; what it does not yet produce is what would sustain them: a stable barrel, reserves that hold, and a standing judicial arbiter.

VE PULSE · 11-JUN-2026

Washington rewrites the rules of Venezuela's oil and gold into a single framework, with an explicit veto on Chinese capital

The opening is no longer a collection of permits but a regime: wider than ever, administered in Washington and revocable with a single signature.

VE PULSE · 09-JUN-2026

The U.S. blockades Venezuela's sanctioned crude by sea and presses on its oil law, as a Middle East truce cheapens the barrel

Washington controls all four levers of Venezuela's oil revenue —cash, rules, route and now the price— so its record export volume decides less and less.

Sector Briefs

10
SECTOR BRIEF · VE-ENERGY-UPSTREAM

Venezuela upstream October 2026: Merey made the quarter that production did not

Venezuela reported 1,206,000 barrels a day to OPEC for September, 5,000 more than in August, while Merey rose $16.93 to $93.75. PDVSA counts 61 signed agreements, and the first start-up declared to a regulator points to the end of 2026.

SECTOR BRIEF · VE-ENERGY-UPSTREAM

Venezuela upstream August 2026: the framework stopped being the question and the rate now decides

The Ministry of Hydrocarbons denied an extension of the contract migration deadline. Chevron declared 280,000 bpd in its joint ventures and confirmed it is negotiating fiscal terms. The United States absorbed ~786,000 bpd in July, the highest since early 2019.

SECTOR BRIEF · VE-FIN

Venezuela banking and bonds August 2026: banks grow 26% without lending and the collateral stays frozen

The short, successive extensions of the collateral signal a live negotiation whose calendar governs the contractual maturity. Financial activity grew 26.26% in the second quarter with private credit blocked by a 73% reserve requirement.

SECTOR BRIEF · VE-RISK

Venezuela country risk August 2026: the file runs on two clocks and only one tells verifiable time

The Venezuelan file operates on two clocks: an external one producing verifiable acts at a reliable cadence, and an internal one whose statements have no associated indicator. Reconstruction is the best available proxy for state execution capacity.

SECTOR BRIEF · VE-ENERGY-UPSTREAM

Venezuela Upstream July 2026: LOH Regulation drops PDVSA (Gaceta 7,052), Repsol signs Horcón MoU, OFAC amends GL 46C-54A, Brent normalizes to $81

The first comprehensive Hydrocarbons Law regulation since 1943 opens upstream to privates without a mandatory joint venture; the VE Score eases from 94 to 84 on Brent's correction (May $104 → July $81), not regulatory deterioration.

SECTOR BRIEF · VE-ENERGY-UPSTREAM

Chevron Q1 revela 1–2% del CFO (cash flow operativo) en Venezuela; producción cruza 1.23M bpd y GL 5W señala coordinación con Citgo

Brief VE-ENERGY-UPSTREAM mayo 2026. El upstream entra en fase de ejecución contractual: exportaciones cruzan 1.23M bpd en abril (máximo en 7 años, +14% intermensual), Chevron en su call Q1 (1 may) confirma Venezuela = 1–2% del CFO (cash flow operativo) con cuenta por cobrar de $1.5B en amortización a 2027 y sin compromiso de capex incremental antes de clarificación fiscal. GL 5W (4 may) extiende protección bono PDVSA 2020 hasta 19 jun — extensión más corta en dos años, señal de coordinación Treasury con proceso judicial Citgo en Delaware. Repsol Petroquiriquire, Eni Junín-5 y Maurel & Prom operativos bajo GL 50A.

SECTOR BRIEF · VE-ENERGY-UPSTREAM

Production crosses 1 million bpd and majors sign: upstream closes Q1 with complete framework and binding power ceiling

VE-ENERGY-UPSTREAM April 2026 brief. Hydrocarbons reform passed (Jan 29), OFAC GL 52 (Mar 18), formal returns from Eni, Repsol and Chevron in April. Production 1.095M bpd, exports >1M for the first time in 6 months. India overtakes China as top buyer at 343K bpd. Revenues channeled to U.S. Treasury custody via EO 14373. The binding ceiling remains electrical (covered in VE-ENERGY-DOMESTICO).

SECTOR BRIEF · VE-ENERGY

The oil opening in numbers: regulatory framework, production, OFAC licenses

The oil opening in numbers. Regulatory framework, production, OFAC licenses, and the players positioning themselves.

SECTOR BRIEF · VE-MACRO

The bi-monetary economy grows double digits while the bolivar loses a quarter of its value

The macroeconomic outlook evaluated for the investor. GDP, inflation, exchange rate, budget and monetary policy.

SECTOR BRIEF · VE-RISK

Multidimensional assessment: political, regulatory, operational, fiscal, sanctions, legal, social and exchange rate

Multidimensional assessment: political, regulatory, operational, fiscal, sanctions, legal, social and FX.

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