VENEECONOMIST

FURTHER READING

04
SECTOR BRIEF · VE-ENERGY-UPSTREAM

Production crosses 1 million bpd and majors sign: upstream closes Q1 with complete framework and binding power ceiling

VE-ENERGY-UPSTREAM April 2026 brief. Hydrocarbons reform passed (Jan 29), OFAC GL 52 (Mar 18), formal returns from Eni, Repsol and Chevron in April. Production 1.095M bpd, exports >1M for the first time in 6 months. India overtakes China as top buyer at 343K bpd. Revenues channeled to U.S. Treasury custody via EO 14373. The binding ceiling remains electrical (covered in VE-ENERGY-DOMESTICO).

ANÁLISIS · RIESGO E INVERSIÓN

Smart money got there first: why the most sophisticated investors are quietly betting on Venezuela while the rankings call it unviable

Five months from Operation Absolute Resolve, the country has shipped between US$6 and US$9 billion in crude under the OFAC framework, sold US$100 million in gold to the U.S. under the Burgum-Caracas deal, delivered Alex Saab into DEA custody at Opa-Locka, and reopened twice-daily direct flights to Miami. Caracas now hosts an open table with the six Western oil majors on the oil front, with Coinbase and Founders Fund on the financial front, and with the Burgum delegation on the mining front — a quarter and a half in which Washington deployed more instruments on the country than in any comparable window since 1999. Transparency International still ranks Venezuela 178 of 180 on corruption perception. The distance between that score and the table filling up in Caracas is exactly the spread smart money is collecting for arriving first.

VE PULSE · 19-MAY-2026

Venezuela Hydrocarbons speaks in Houston, DOJ charges Saab in Miami, Aeroméxico schedules Caracas

Houston, Miami and Mexico City concentrate Venezuelan activity today on the same axis — the Hydrocarbons Ministry at the AAPG, Saab in SDFL federal custody, Aeroméxico fixing October for the return to Maiquetía. Three documents the same day; the question now is which one produces a verifiable next step before June.

OFAC · GL 58

GL 58 — Services to the Government of Venezuela for Potential Debt Restructuring

Authorizes provision of legal, financial advisory, and consulting services to the Government of Venezuela, including PDVSA, in connection with potential debt restructuring. Does not authorize the restructuring itself, transfer, settlement, or direct negotiations between the Government of Venezuela and its creditors.