VENEECONOMIST
Analysis · APRIL 28, 2026

Venezuela, day 110: the institutional map and the decisions still pending

On April 3, the 90-day constitutional term expired without a formal extension vote or declaration of permanent vacancy. At day 110, the economic architecture advanced: 13 GLs, hydrocarbons and mining reforms, BCV desanctioned. The political architecture — CNE, Electoral Statute, convocation, roadmap — did not. This analysis documents facts, separates confirmed from disputed, and maps pending decisions.

VE-MACRO · UNDER OBSERVATION. On January 5, Delcy Rodríguez assumed the acting presidency under Article 234 of the Constitution. On April 3, the initial 90-day term expired. There was no formal declaration of permanent vacancy, nor an extension vote by the National Assembly. The constitutional framework designed for this scenario did not activate an electoral mechanism nor formalize continuity. This analysis documents verifiable facts at day 110, separates what is confirmed from what is reported-but-disputed, and maps the decisions no actor has formally taken.

The Rubio three-phase plan — stabilization, recovery, transition — was presented in classified Senate and House briefings in January. Rubio offered no election timeline.

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04
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The earthquake tested the variable Venezuela's opening overlooked: the state's own capacity

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ANÁLISIS · SANCIONES · RIESGO PAÍS

Fiscal Sovereignty in Custody: Who Signs Off on Every Dollar of Venezuelan Oil

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OFAC · GL 60

GL 60 — Earthquake Relief Efforts (through October 23, 2026)

Authorizes, through 12:01 a.m. eastern time on October 23, 2026, transactions ordinarily incident and necessary to earthquake-relief efforts following the June 24, 2026 earthquake in Venezuela that would otherwise be prohibited by the Venezuela Sanctions Regulations (31 CFR part 591), including those involving the Government of Venezuela and SDNs sanctioned under the executive orders incorporated into the VSR. Note 1 covers the processing and transfer of funds on behalf of third-country persons in support of relief and lets U.S. financial institutions and money transmitters rely on the originator to establish compliance. Does not unblock blocked property and does not cover ordinary activity (routine remittances, general commerce).