VENEECONOMIST
Analysis Type A — Current Events · JULY 15, 2026

Venezuela's Hydrocarbons Regulation: The 20%–35% Fiscal Table That Redefines Oil Investment

Venezuela's Hydrocarbons Law Regulation is now in force (Gazette Ext. 7,052): 83 years later, it sets a 20%–35% fiscal table by project type. What remains at the Ministry's discretion is no longer the rate, but which category each oil contract falls into.

Published July 15, 2026

Eighty-three years after its last regulation, Venezuela has the implementation manual for its oil opening. Decree No. 5,381, published in Special Official Gazette No. 7,052, does not leave the fiscal rate to guesswork: it fixes, article by article, how much a project pays based on its category. This is not a framework open to case-by-case bargaining. It is a table.

But a fiscal table does not close every question. Discretion did not disappear: it moved one step back. It no longer sits in how much is paid —that is written down—, but in who decides which category a contract falls into. That is the variable an investor should watch from now on, not the rate.

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Classification
Analysis Type ACurrent Events
Energía · Marco Regulatorio
July 15, 2026
Sources
  • Gaceta Oficial Ext. N° 7.052 (7-jul-2026, Decreto 5.381) — texto primario leído completo
  • Gaceta Oficial Ext. N° 6.978 (29-ene-2026) — Reforma de la Ley Orgánica de Hidrocarburos
  • MinH / PDVSA (vía Argus, Reuters) — suspensión de 19 CPP y revisión de 26 empresas mixtas (reportado)
  • Casa Blanca — Executive Order 14373 (9-ene-2026) — custodia del ingreso petrolero
  • OFAC / U.S. Treasury — General License 5X (bono PDVSA 2020, efectiva 4-ago-2026)
VENE · ECONOMIST Intelligence Unit · Informational analysis. Does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. Vene Economist is not a credit rating agency; the "VE Verdict" is a proprietary editorial indicator, not a credit rating. Always verify against the primary source before making decisions.
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